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GMAT/Problem Solving - What's The Difference?


What's The Difference?

Question
Set S is the set of all prime integers between 0 and 20. If three numbers are chosen randomly from set S and each number can be chosen only once, what is the positive difference between the probability that the product of these three numbers is a number less than 31 and the probability that the sum of these three numbers is odd?
(A) 1/336
(B) 1/2
(C) 17/28
(D) 3/4
(E) 301/336



ОТВЕТЫ И КОММЕНТАРИИ
Решение

Answer
If set S is the set of all prime integers between 0 and 20 then:

S = {2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19}

Let’s start by finding the probability that the product of the three numbers chosenis a number less than 31. To keep the product less than 31, the three numbers must be 2, 3 and 5. So, what is the probability that the three numbers chosen will be some combination of 2, 3, and 5?

Here’s the list all possible combinations of 2, 3, and 5:

case A: 2, 3, 5
case B: 2, 5, 3
case C: 3, 2, 5
case D: 3, 5, 2
case E: 5, 2, 3
case F: 5, 3, 2

This makes it easy to see that when 2 is chosen first, there are two possible combinations. The same is true when 3 and 5 are chosen first. The probability of drawing a 2, AND a 3, AND a 5 in case A is calculated as follows (remember, when calculating probabilities, AND means multiply):

case A: (1/8) x (1/7) x (1/6) = 1/336

The same holds for the rest of the cases.

case B: (1/8) x (1/7) x (1/6) = 1/336
case C: (1/8) x (1/7) x (1/6) = 1/336
case D: (1/8) x (1/7) x (1/6) = 1/336
case E: (1/8) x (1/7) x (1/6) = 1/336
case F: (1/8) x (1/7) x (1/6) = 1/336


So, a 2, 3, and 5 could be chosen according to case A, OR case B, OR, case C, etc. The total probability of getting a 2, 3, and 5, in any order, can be calculated as follows (remember, when calculating probabilities, OR means add):

(1/336) + (1/336) + (1/336) + (1/336) + (1/336) + (1/336) = 6/336

Now, let’s calculate the probability that the sum of the three numbers is odd. In order to get an odd sum in this case, 2 must NOT be one of the numbers chosen. Using the rules of odds and evens, we can see that having a 2 would give the following scenario:

even + odd + odd = even

So, what is the probability that the three numbers chosen are all odd? We would need an odd AND another odd, AND another odd:

(7/8) x (6/7) x (5/6) = 210/336

The positive difference between the two probabilities is:

(210/336) – (6/336) = (204/336) = 17/28

The correct answer is C.

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Вопрос из экзамена
During New York City's fiscal crisis of the late 1970's, governmental leaders
debated whether to offer federal assistance to New York City. One economist who
opposed the suggestion asked, "Are we supposed to help out New York City every
time it gets into financial problems?"

The economist's question can be criticized because it

A) uses ambiguous terms
B) assumes everyone else agrees New York City should be helped
C) appeals to emotions rather than using logic
D) relies on second-hand reports rather than first-hand accounts
E) completely ignores the issue at hand
    Ответ
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